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Overview

Simulation is what-if revenue forecasting. You apply markup or discount rules to a recent baseline and forecast the impact. It has two modes:
  • Items — supply-level price changes.
  • Billing groups — group-level discount or uplift rules.

When to use it

  • You’re considering a price change on one or more supply items and want to estimate the revenue effect.
  • You’re considering a discount (or uplift) on a billing group and want to model the outcome.
  • You want to compare scenarios before committing to a pricing decision.

Inputs

Shared inputs (most are optional and fall back to sensible defaults):
  • Mode — items or billing groups.
  • Lookback window — the historical date range used as the baseline.
  • Forecast horizon — how far ahead to project.
  • Scope filters — narrow the simulation (for example, by payor organization, specialty, procedure, surgeon, or diagnosis).
Mode-specific inputs:
  • Items mode — one or more selected supply items, each with a markup or discount expressed as a percentage or a flat per-unit price.
  • Billing-groups mode — a selected billing group with a discount or uplift rule.

Steps

1

Choose a mode

Select items or billing groups.
2

Set the window and scope

Optionally set the lookback window, forecast horizon, and any scope filters.
3

Define the change

For items, select supplies and set a percentage or flat price change. For billing groups, select a group and set a discount or uplift.
4

Run the simulation

Run it and review the projected impact.

Outputs

The results show the projected impact broken down three ways:
  • Overall — totals before and after, the net impact, and the percentage change.
  • By procedure — revenue before/after and share of impact per procedure.
  • By payor — the same breakdown per payor.
Supporting detail includes per-rule or per-tier impacts and baseline-vs-adjusted forecast series.

Notes & caveats

New / unseen item estimation is not available. Estimating utilization or revenue for a brand-new item that has no history is not a supported capability in the current product. Simulation works from items and groups that already have a baseline in your data. Do not rely on it to price a never-before-seen item.
  • Simulation requires enough recent history to build a baseline forecast. If the underlying forecast model isn’t available for your scope, the simulation can’t run for that selection.
  • Forecasts are estimates and come with model-quality context — treat them as scenario guidance, not guaranteed outcomes.
  • Results are scoped to your organization.

Support

Need help setting up a scenario or reading the impact breakdown? See Support or email admin@valiancehealth.ai.